Mammoth Daily Snow

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By Mike Korotkin, Meteorologist Posted 1 year ago February 3, 2023

Wind then Snow

Summary

Windy Friday & Saturday. By Saturday night we have a storm come through and it drops moderate amounts of snow by Monday morning. We start next week cool, but dry before a little warmup and again a chance for more light snow by next weekend...

Short Term Forecast

Friday - Saturday 

Forecast hasn't changed much for Friday and Saturday with plenty of wind over the summit forecasted for both days. gusts up to 60+ MPH are expected both days affecting lift ops. They will be out of the Southwest. Right now I'm seeing gusts up to 80 MPH on the summit so it's already plenty windy. 

Temps will be colder today on Friday versus Saturday. Low 30's and high 20's for Friday, while mid 30's and low 30's are possible on Saturday as the Southwest winds usher in warmer air ahead of the storm. 

We could see a few snowflakes at some point later this morning or early afternoon from the weak system that's falling apart as it hits the mtns. today. 

Saturday Evening - Sunday Storm

Our storm is on track and the models are trending a little wetter this morning! Between the GFS, Euro, and WPC model the average for liquid is 1.50 inches. So even at 10:1 that's 15 inches of snow. Hopefully the upward trend in precip stays on track tomorrow. 

Temps will get colder on Sunday with highs only in the low 20's at the base and teens out on the mtn. Winds will be coming down on Sunday for better conditions. Gusts will be in the 50 - 60 MPH range Sunday morning and likely coming down into the 30 MPH range in the afternoon. 

My updated snowfall forecast is now for 11 - 16 inches at the base and 14 - 18 inches up on the summit. This is the total by Monday morning but I'm expecting much of this to fall by Sunday morning. 

Monday - Tuesday 

We'll see cooler temps on Monday with highs in the teens and 20's and gusty North Northeast Winds. Winds could be up to 40 MPH on Monday and down to 20 MPH on Tuesday. 

There should be plenty of sun both days and a warming trend on Tuesday with highs in the mid to upper 20's. 

Tuesday Night - Wednesday 

There's another very weak system that will brush by next Tuesday night, February 7th into Wednesday the 8th. I'm still thinking we won't see anything more than some clouds and more wind but a snow shower is possible. The closer we get the more details I'll have to update you on. 

Extended Forecast

Overall next week is still looking dry and fair. Highs will be moderated and only get up to the mid 30's at the bases as we stay on the cool side of the ridge. But in terms of storms I'm not seeing anything significant showing up. 

The chances increase as we go into the weekend of the 11th and 12th but overall still not good consensus that we see a real storm. Maybe a snow shower or 2 but at this time I'm not putting much faith into the models this far out as they're trying to figure out how we transition into another pattern. 

This pattern is not likely to bring big snow but could bring in small to moderate storms with cold air. 

I'll keep you posted on any updates. 

Till the next one... Mike out. 

About Our Forecaster

Mike Korotkin

Meteorologist

Mike graduated from UC Berkeley with a Bachelor’s in Atmospheric Science and received his Masters in Atmospheric Science at the University of Nevada Reno. He grew up in Southern California by the beach, but quickly realized he loved the mountains, so his first memories were of the SoCal mountains where he saw snow for the first time. He started skiing in his 20’s and is now an avid skier and backpacker at locations up and down the Sierra Nevada Mountains.

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