Mid-Atlantic Daily Snow

Heads up, there may be fresher snow! Read the latest Mid-Atlantic Daily Snow

By Zach Butler, Meteorologist Posted 2 months ago December 6, 2023

Light Snow and Upslope Favor WV and NC

Summary

A storm system will bring light snow through the northern, western, and southern Mid-Atlantic as well as North Carolina on Wednesday and Thursday. Snow accumulations will be 1-5 inches with higher totals likely through WV and NC. Friday and Saturday will be clear with a strong storm bringing heavy rain and backside light snow on Sunday and Monday, December 11th.

Short Term Forecast

Snow has returned to many parts of the Mid-Atlantic, which will bring fresh slopes on Wednesday and Thursday. A couple of inches of snow has already fallen as of Wednesday morning. Check out Timberline and Seven Springs on Tuesday evening.

Forecast on Wednesday and Thursday:

Scattered snow showers will continue throughout Wednesday with the heaviest snow showers through the western Mid-Atlantic and the Smokies due to favorable upslope conditions. A few snow showers will also move through the central Mid-Atlantic but accumulate minimally.

Snow accumulations in the northern Mid-Atlantic and western PA will be 1-3 inches while in western MD, WV, and NC will be 2-6+ inches. A few areas of the higher terrain could approach 10 inches if snow showers can maintain favorable upslope conditions.

Snow showers will continue until Thursday morning. A very weak storm moving through southern Canada will extend a few rain and snow showers in northern PA and NY during Thursday afternoon. A trace - 1 inch of snow is expected with this area of precipitation.

Below is a look at the National Blend of Model’s (NBM) forecasted snow accumulations from Wednesday, December 6th through Thursday, December 7th. A couple of more inches of snow is likely for the higher terrain WV and NC.

Forecast on Friday and Saturday:

The weather will clear for a beautiful couple of days through the Mid-Atlantic. There will be a mix of sun and clouds with above-normal temperatures. Snowmaking could occur overnight on Friday but temperatures will warm to above freezing on Saturday night.

Forecast on Sunday and Monday:

There is more model consensus about a large storm system tracking through the East Coast beginning on Sunday, December 10th and continuing through Monday, December 11th. The bad news is that an inland track looks likely, which would keep temperatures warm through the main wave of heavy precipitation.

The good news is that a strong cold front would accompany this storm and change rain to snow on Monday morning with some lake effect snow continuing through Monday and Tuesday, December 12th. I expect winds to be gusty, especially along the coast with precipitation amounts to be 1-3 inches.

Below is a look at the Euro model’s ensemble predicted upper-level pattern from Sunday, December 10th through Monday, December 11th.

There is still uncertainty with the storm track, which will influence rain accumulations and when/where rain will change to snow north and west. Below is a look at the Euro model’s ensemble probability of snow accumulations greater than 1 inch on Monday, December 11th.

Extended Forecast

There are growing signs of the active storm track drying up as the jet stream shifts to the north. Warm air will be able to push up from the south, which would increase the odds of warmer than normal temperatures.

There are still some chances of snow for the northern Mid-Atlantic but with a pattern set-up like this, cold air and snow do not look likely for the southern half of the Mid-Atlantic.

Below is a look at the Climate Prediction Center’s (CPC) probability outlook of temperatures (top) and precipitation (bottom) from Wednesday, December 13th through Tuesday, December 19th. 

Thanks for reading and enjoy the snow. I will have the next forecast on Friday.

Zach Butler

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About Our Forecaster

Zach Butler

Meteorologist

Zach Butler is currently a PhD student in Water Resources Science at Oregon State University. He just finished his master's in Applied Meteorology at Plymouth State University in New Hampshire. Originally from Maryland, he has grown up hiking and skiing up and down the East Coast. When not doing coursework, he enjoys cooking and exploring the pacific northwest on his bike.

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