Mid-Atlantic Daily Snow
By Zach Butler, Meteorologist Posted 2 months ago December 8, 2023
The next storm will move into the Mid-Atlantic late Saturday and continue through Monday. Heavy rain and strong winds are expected with a strong cold front that will change rain to snow on Sunday evening. Total snow accumulation of 1 - 7 inches is expected by Monday afternoon.
Light lake effect and upslope showers through the western Mid-Atlantic and North Carolina gave light snow accumulations of 2-6 inches and fresh slopes to ski on. Below is a look at Timberline on Thursday morning with 4-5 inches of fresh snow.
Friday will remain dry and clear for a nice start to the weekend before a strong storm system moves in.
Forecast on Saturday, Sunday, and Monday:
A strong storm system is gearing up to impact the East Coast this weekend. This storm will bring warm air on Saturday and for most of Sunday, which will be accompanied by heavy rain. The good news is that a strong cold front will move into the region on Sunday evening, which will change rain to snow.
The storm has shifted further southeast since the last forecast, as well as the cold front shifting further to the east. This shift will change rain to snow earlier in the storm system on Sunday evening, and bring snow accumulation through the Mid-Atlantic.
Snow accumulation will be strongly dependent on how quickly the cold front moves cold air in and changes rain to snow. The latest model guidance shows this happening earlier, which will bring several inches of snow. The forecast could change in the coming days so stay posted on your favorite resort for the latest forecast. I'll have another update on Sunday morning.
This storm will also bring strong winds, especially to the coastal areas. Expect winds of 10 - 30 mph with gusts over 40 mph on Sunday evening and into Monday.
Below is a look at the GFS model’s depiction of precipitation type and intensity from 7 pm Saturday, December 9th through 1 pm Monday, December 11th. The cold front will move through after 7 pm on Sunday and change rain to snow.
Below is a look at the National Blend of Model’s (NBM) forecasted snow accumulations from Saturday, December 9th through Monday, December 11th. Snow accumulations will likely be higher in the Catskills reaching 4-7 inches!
This storm will bring a sharp change from heavy rain with accumulations of 1-2 inches to heavy snow of 1-7 inches. Skiing will be tough on Sunday as this transition happens and be pretty good on Monday as cold air moves in and snow accumulates.
A few lake effect snow showers could add a couple of more inches of snow on Monday to the totals above through the northern and western Mid-Atlantic.
Next week starting on Tuesday, December 12th continues to look dry and quiet.
I will have another update on this storm on Sunday morning!
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