Midwest Daily Snow

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By Croix Christenson, Meteorologist Posted 11 days ago February 13, 2024

Off and On Light Snow

Summary

At this point, we'll take what we can get, with periods of light snow likely this week and accumulations on the lighter side. A few areas could see enough for some soft turns. We'll also see a bit of a temperature see-saw, with Wednesday milder for some, before some colder air returns Thursday into Friday.

Short Term Forecast

Snow Chances Tuesday, Feb. 13 to Sunday, Feb. 18

North Shore Lake Superior

  • Periods of flurries and light snow off and on this week
  • No single period is expected to have enough snow to offer softer turns
  • The better-organized system likely misses to the south midweek 

South Shore Lake Superior

Monday we saw some light snow near Searchmont, with a few locations reporting a couple of inches near them, the most snow we have seen in a while. Monday night lake effect snow showers continued for the north wind belts, with some fresh snow falling for Marquette Mtn and others, such as Powderhorn and Snowriver. Accumulations were generally a dusting to an inch or two for resorts in the UP Monday/Monday night. 

Fresh snow at ABR Tuesday AM:

The system for Wednesday night into Thursday likely remains south, but colder air should allow a round of lake effect snow to return, with a dusting to 3" or so. We'll have to monitor things closely for Searchmont as well, as some models hint they could pick up enough snow Thursday/Thursday night for some soft turns. 

Models continue to hint that Searchmont could continue to see lake effect snow on Friday, adding to their totals and making them the winners of the week. 

I will keep looking - and hoping - for a more significant storm in the forecast, but so far nothing has popped up... 

Twin Cities Region

  • The best odds of seeing a dusting to 2" or so will be for the resorts directly in the Twin Cities and south Wednesday PM into Thursday AM
  • Beyond the system midweek, most models keep the region quiet and dry, with a warmup for the weekend into early next week

Central and Southern Wisconsin

  • A system is still likely late Wednesday night into Thursday, with the potential for a few inches of snow along with rain/drizzle
    • The best odds of all snow will be from Granite Peak south to Devils Head and Cascade
      • Granite Peak may end up on the northern edge and have a high variance in outcome (flurries or a couple of inches) 
    • A mix of rain/snow is likely for the resorts in the southern portion of the region

Northern Lower Michigan

  • At this time the best chance to enjoy some fresh snow on the slopes looks to be Thursday and Friday AM
    • Low confidence on amounts, but there's a chance of some soft turns 
    • Models currently favor a places like Crystal Mtn and Caberfae to see the most snow
  • Light snow/lake effect may linger on Friday as colder air returns for a day or two

Southern Lower Michigan

  • Rain and snow likely on Thursday 
    • Models have trended a little further south, which could mean a few more resorts see snow vs rain
  • Light snow/lake effect possible Friday/Sat AM

Extended Forecast

Fantasy Land: Snow Chances Monday, Feb. 19 to Sunday, Feb. 25

  • Longe range models continue to hint at one or more systems this week, but they're mixed on timing and strength, so low confidence at this time 
  • Models have started to hint we see a bit of a temperature see-saw this week
    • Could be a few mild days next week

The next forecast will be posted on Wednesday - thanks for reading!

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About Our Forecaster

Croix Christenson

Meteorologist

Croix grew up in Saint Paul, Minnesota where he developed his passion for the outdoors and snow. He attended the University of Wisconsin-Madison and received his BS and MS in Atmospheric Science. When not working, you will find Croix exploring his Duluth, Minnesota backyard by skiing, mountain biking, fishing, surfing, hiking with his dog Doppler, or just about any activity that gets him outside.

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