Montana Daily Snow
By Bob Ambrose, Forecaster Posted 1 year ago March 28, 2023
More Snow on the Way
Summary
Red Lodge Mountain has finally dug out after an incredible 60” of snowfall over the past weekend. That storm also buried Bridger Bowl with 29” and just less than 2 feet fell at Big Sky. A brief lull in the action until Wednesday night into Thursday when a weak system to the south brings accumulating snowfall once again, across SW MT. A more potent, and widespread system looms for this weekend.
Short Term Forecast
Below: It was a blower weekend at Big Sky. Snow returns Thursday at Big Sky. Image: BSR
West of the Continental Divide:
Tuesday: Mainly sunny with increasing clouds west to east into the afternoon. Temps continue to be below late March averages with upper mountain highs in the upper 20’s to low 30’s across the region. Light E/NE winds.
Wednesday & Thursday: As a large storm system moves north to south along the West Coast it will send a W/SW flow of weak disturbances into the region. Snowfall will mainly affect areas along and south of the I-90 corridor with areas to the north seeing some clouds and an isolated snow shower. Snow looks to start during the late afternoon/evening hours on Wednesday at Disco, LT, and Snowbowl and continue into Thursday. The snowfall will be showery in nature, with off and on periods through the day on Thursday. LT looks like the best bet for 3 – 6” with 2 – 4” possible at Disco and Snowbowl through Thursday night. A slight warmup on Wednesday with mountain top highs in the mid to upper 30’s, then slightly cooler on Thursday with highs in the low 30’s. Light SE winds.
Friday & Saturday: Clouds will be on the increase on Friday as our next storm system approaches the region out of the NW. Possibly some afternoon flurries at Lookout but generally a cloudy day with isolated sunny spells. A trough of low-pressure with origins in the Gulf of Alaska will begin to spread through the region Saturday afternoon bringing periods of snow lasting into Saturday night. Currently, Lookout Pass looks best positioned for storm totals (thru Saturday night) of 6 – 12”, with 3 – 7” at Snowbowl and Lost Trail, with 1 – 3” at Whitefish and Disco. Cooler than average temps both days.
East of the Continental Divide:
Tuesday: Flurries from a weak disturbance moving south of the Montana border will be likely at Big Sky and possibly Red Lodge, otherwise mainly cloudy skies will be prevalent across the eastside. Continued cold with highs reaching into the low 20’s at 8000’. Light SW winds.
Wednesday & Thursday: After a benign cloudy day on Wednesday with slightly warmer temps a deep storm system circulating along the West Coast will begin to send a W/SW flow into the region. Moisture embedded in this flow will bring accumulating snowfall, albeit in off and on periods beginning Wednesday night and lasting through the day on Thursday. The heaviest snowfall looks to be across SW areas and resorts with Big Sky, Bridger, and Red Lodge best positioned for moderate storm totals in the 3 – 7” range through Thursday evening. Areas to the north, mainly GD and Showdown could see 1 – 3”. A slight warmup on Wednesday with 8000’ highs in the upper 20’s to low 30’s. Cooler Thursday, with highs in the low to mid 20’s at 8000’. Variable light winds.
Friday & Saturday: Generally, a mostly cloudy dry day on Friday across the region as a short-lived ridge builds in. Some moisture may bring snow showers at Big Sky on Friday with trace amounts possible. A mix of sun and clouds Saturday morning before clouds increase Saturday afternoon as a trough of low-pressure with origins in the Gulf of Alaska spreads through the region. Periods of snow develop Saturday afternoon across SW and North Central areas lasting through Saturday night. Big Sky, Bridger, and Showdown look best positioned for storm totals (thru Saturday night) of 3 – 6”, with trace amounts to an inch elsewhere. Temps will be right around seasonal averages both days.
Below: National Blend Model for snowfall through Midnight on Sunday 4/2. It's shaping up to be a snowy weekend across the Northern Rockies.
Extended Forecast
Sunday, April 2nd – Wednesday, April 5th
Widespread periods of snow and much cooler temps for Sunday as a cold-front pushes across the Northern Rockies. Still a bit early for pinpoint details but accumulations of generally 2 – 5” are likely for most resorts and ski areas across the state. Models agree on a deep trough of low–pressure to be draped across the Northern Rockies possibly lasting through the middle of next week. This trough will allow Pacific moisture to flow across the NR keeping the skies unsettled with daily light accumulating snowfall likely through Wednesday the 5th of April. Cooler than average temps through the extended period. Stay tuned.
Below: The Euro Deterministic forecast map begins Friday with a storm system rolling out of the NW. This trough expands and deepens Sunday through Wednesday 4/5 keeping daily accumulating snowfall possible across the Northern Rockies.
Thanks for tuning in. Storm update on Thursday 3/30.
Powder Out –
Bob
Announcements
Montana Ski Areas & Resorts / Geographical References
WEST of the Divide:
Whitefish Mountain Resort – OPEN daily
Blacktail Mountain –OPEN Weds - Sun
Turner Mountain – CLOSED for the Season
Lookout Pass (MT/ID) - OPEN daily
Montana Snowbowl – Open Wednesday – Sunday (closed Mon/Tues)
Discovery Basin – OPEN daily
Lost Trail Powder Mountain – OPEN Thurs – Sun (SKIESTA on April 1st - Last day April 2nd)
EAST of the Divide:
Big Sky Resort – OPEN daily
Bridger Bowl – OPEN daily
Red Lodge Mountain – OPEN daily
Great Divide – OPEN Weds - Sun
Showdown – OPEN Weds - Sun
Teton Pass Ski Area –OPEN Fri - Sun
Maverick Mountain – CLOSED for the Season
Backcountry Avalanche Reports:
West Central Montana Avalanche Center
Flathead Avalanche Center
Gallatin National Forest Avalanche Center: