New England Daily Snow
By Jay Cordeira, Meteorologist Posted 2 months ago December 11, 2023
An underwhelming, but still decent, ~6-10" of new snow fell at elevation across the Adirondacks and northern Vermont. Light snow continues through Monday with snow showers expected again Tuesday/Wednesday.
Short Term Forecast
Low pressure will continue to track over southeast New England and into the Gulf of Maine on Monday resulting in light snow and upslope snows across western and northern New England.
NAM model forecast animation for 7AM to 7PM on Monday.
The forecast changed drastically throughout the day on Sunday with each consecutive run of the model suites trending weaker and farther East than originally anticipated.
NAM model forecast both valid at 1PM on Monday. The one of the left was issued late on Saturday evening and the one of the right was issued at 1AM on Monday. Notice anything different?
That megaband I talked about 24 hours ago? It never materialized. So what happens when the models forecast 1-2" snowfall rates for a 6-12-hour period, and it doesn't happen? Snowfall totals end up much lower than originally anticipated.
CoCoRaHS network snowfall observations as of 7:15AM on Monday morning.
National Weather Service snowfall observations as of 7:15AM on Monday morning.
OpenSnow reports and estimated snowfall totals as of 7:15AM on Monday.
A few resorts have totaled 6" of snow by early Monday morning in Vermont including Jay, Stowe, and Sugarbush with 10" reported at Whiteface in New York. These totals should climb through Monday morning with backside and upslope snows adding another ~2-4". It's possible that Jay can manage another 6" to make it to 12"+ (which was the low end of the range forecast by most models on Sunday). A bit underwhelming compared to some of the higher-end amounts forecast, but snow is snow.
Snow showers are possible across the North Country through Wednesday with a renewed shot of cold air bringing heavier snow showers and snow squalls on Tuesday night. Combined, an additional 1-3" of snow is likely across the northern resorts, especially at Jay.
NAM model forecast animation for 7PM Tuesday through 1PM Wednesday.
The extended forecast has relatively zonal (west to east) flow setting up across the U.S. with temperatures generally running warmer than average across the U.S. Cold air is a bit hard to come by even across the higher latitudes into Canada. Our odds of snow are also pretty hard to come by with the ECMWF ensemble producing very few members with any snow through the Christmas Holiday. The best bet for right now is that resorts should be able to at least make snow.
ECMWF ensemble grid for 24-hour snowfall through 25 December. Each grid box in the upper panel represents a 24-hour snowfall amount from each of the ensemble's 50 members.
Check back for an update on Tuesday or Wednesday.
Download Offline Trail Maps
Before losing service on the mountain, add ski resort trail maps to your Favorites screen in the OpenSnow app and download them to view offline.
- Go to Favorites > Trail Maps > Add Trail Maps
- Search for the ski resort and select the trail map
- Go back to Favorites > Trail Maps
- Tap the cloud icon in the lower right
- Blue Cloud Icon = Available Offline
You can also go to Settings > Your Favorites > Trail Maps in the OpenSnow app to edit and/or view any trail map that you have already favorited.
Favorites → Trail Maps