Tahoe Daily Snow

Back to Fall...

Update

The final weak/cool system worked through the area last night.  Looking at the radar it looked like the heaviest showers were hitting on the South side of the lake.  Accumulating snow levels looked to be around 9,000 feet.  Checking the mountain cams this morning there is some accumulation at the top of Heavenly and Kirkwood.

heavenly

kwood

Unfortunately, it is not the big snowfall amounts we are seeing this week in the Rockies!  It's not common for us to see big snowfall this early though.  Every few years or so we get a good dump by the end of October.

We have one last cool day today from the trough over the West before it starts to shift east allowing the high-pressure ridge to build over the area through next week.

ridge

That will bring us some warming temperatures, with highs back into the 60's at lake level during the day.  Overnight lows will still be cold with the valleys possibly dropping into the 20's at night.

The low-pressure trough in the North Pacific will push east the last week of October.  Right now it looks like it may stay far enough off the coast to keep the storm track well to our North.

trough

Here is a look at the 2-week precipitation forecast off the GFS model.

gfs precip

Some model runs try to push the storm track further down the coast by the end of the month.  Overall though, I would expect a return to normal fall weather for at least the next 10 days.  Let's hope for a much more active start to November!

Stay tuned...BA

P.S. I'm thinking about making the discussions a little less technical and trying to make them a little shorter this season.  Looking back at my posts over the last 12 years it seems like I have made them slightly more technical with time, adding in a lot of discussion on different model runs instead of just giving the summary of what I'm seeing.  I feel like I already take the complicated forecasts and type them up in easier to understand language, but I still have some reader feedback that the discussions are a little too long and complicated.  When we have a train of storms coming it is hard to detail each storm without being long.  Let me what you think in the comments if you want to.  I want to make sure EVERYONE is getting the information they need to know when the snow will be best on the mountains.

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