- Mostly Sunny Monday with highs in the 50s at lake level and 40's on the mountains. Ridgetop winds gusting up to 60+ mph. - Monday night - Wednesday night we could see scattered showers. Snow levels mostly between 7000-8000 ft. but they could dip close to lake level at night. A dusting of snow possible above 7000 ft. at night, and a few inches of snow possible above 8000 ft. Highs in the 40s at lake level Tuesday & near 50 Wednesday. 30's on the mountains Tuesday and near 40 Wednesday. Ridgetop winds gusting to 50+ mph Tuesday and 30+ Wednesday. - Still cool with some clouds Thursday with showers to the north. Then drier Friday - Saturday with highs into the 60s at lake level and 50s for the mountains. - Sunday into early next week an active pattern may return with cooler temperatures and more precipitation possible.
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Short Term Forecast
The summer weather has ended and we are headed into a more active and cooler pattern for at least the next 10 days it appears.
We have mostly sunny skies Monday but with gusty winds that we have been experiencing since Sunday. There is a trough pushing into the West Coast with a couple of systems rotating through northern CA through Thursday. Low pressure spinning near the coast looks pretty impressive for May.
...and is pushing a band of precip through CA Monday afternoon.
We will see an increasing chance for showers later Monday night into Tuesday with another system continuing the chance for showers through Wednesday night. This time of year there is always a better chance to see showers in the afternoon and over the mountains with the daytime heating and convection.
Highs cool into the 40s on Tuesday at lake level and 30s on the mountains. Snow levels drop into the 7000-7500 ft. range around the lake, and could dip a bit lower earlier Tuesday and Wednesday morning. Maybe a few flakes for lake level but no accumulations. Total precip amounts like pretty light through Wednesday night near the Tahoe basin.
We will watch for any heavier showers to pop up over mountains that could drag down snow levels and pile up a few inches of snow above 8k. We could wake up to a dusting of snow on the mountains above 7k with a few inches of snow in total above 8k by Thursday morning. 1-3 on the east side of the lake and 2-5 for the West side up along the crest.
The shower chances may shift more to the north Thursday with a better chance for a drier day with some sun. Highs are still cool in the 50s for lake level and 40s for the mountains. Then a brief and weak ridge of high pressure builds in over CA Friday - Saturday.
We should see two mostly sunny days with highs warming into the 60s for lake level and 50s for the mountains. We could see increasing gusty winds again Saturday as we prepare for another pattern change back to cooler and active weather.
Sunday through early next week we could see a similar pattern setup as another trough pushes into the West Coast.
We could see cooler weather and increasing showers again Sunday with additional systems the first half of next week. Some model runs show a wetter system for early next week, so we will keep an eye on that.
Snow levels likely above 7-8000 ft. but we will watch for any chances for a drop in snow levels and accumulating snow. Not uncommon to see a little snow at lake level in May, even for Memorial Day weekend. The CPC is showing above-average precipitation for days 6-10.
We may see a drier pattern again beyond 10 days, but it looks like our early taste of summer weather from this past weekend may be just a tease and may not visit again for a little while. It was nice while it lasted.
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