Quiet weather for the first half of the week thru Wednesday.  Things really change on Thursday as the first system pushes into the region.  This first storm will move quickly thru the region and is relatively unorganized.  Still, we should see widespread mountain snowfall on Thursday.  Accumulations will likely be in the 3-6" range in the Cottonwoods, with perhaps 2-4" on other mountain locations above 7,500 ft.  

A break Thursday night into early Friday.  Then during the day Friday, we should see an increase in precipitation again with snow developing in the mountains.  The main front and heaviest portion of this storm looks to move thru Friday night into Saturday morning.  This system is well organized with plenty of moisture from the Pacific.  It also is fairly cold with snow levels possibly lowering to lower valley floors on the Wasatch Front.  That means all snow for the mountains with fluffy powder in the high elevations.  

All signs point to a Saturday powder day. Of course, there's not much open so it's hard to say just how much of a powder day it will actually be, but it will be a powder day on the parts of the mountain that are open -- or if you know where to go in the backcountry.  

As for total accumulations, models generally remain consistent from yesterday.  GFS showing good accumulations in most mountain locations: 

Amounts in southern Utah should remain on the light side as this is mostly a Northern Utah event.  

Latest ensemble plumes have a mean of about 2" of liquid: 

This equates to 3-6" of snow wit the Thursday storm, and another 10-18" with the second storm.  If all goes well, the Upper Cottonwoods could be looking at a up to 2 feet total (or more).  Over a foot of snow is likely in other Wasatch mountain locations as well.  

We are are still 3-5 days out and not yet in range of models like the NAM and WRF.  We will fine-tune these details in the days to come.  

It generally looks like we start to clear out on Sunday, although there could be a weak follow-up system that keeps snow showers going.  Beginning of next week looks like high pressure and a break from storms.  The storm track starts to edge closer to the west coast by the middle of next week and we could see snow return to Utah before the end of November.  

Evan | OpenSnow