Utah Daily Snow

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By Evan Thayer, Forecaster Posted 2 years ago January 10, 2022

High Pressure Ho-Hum

Summary

High pressure is in control and we are looking at mostly sunny skies, for the most part, this week with warm temperatures at elevation. At this point, we continue to scour the long-range models for a pattern change that may bring us back to snowy weather.

Short Term Forecast

Not much going on right now to talk about. High pressure, as expected, has taken control of the region and we are warm and dry as a result. That should continue for most of this week. We do have a very weak (and probably dry) cold front that will cross the area on Thursday night into Friday. I don't think it will do much for us in terms of snow, but we should see a cooldown for a day or two. It may also help to flush out inversions in the valley. 

However, like I said, the hope for snow with this front is minimal. The current Euro (ECMWF) shows no snow in Utah for the next 10 days: 

And the GFS for the next 10 days:

It has a little bit of precip in Utah mountains, but it's at the very end of the 10-day window so confidence is low. Essentially, aside from a cooldown on Friday, the majority of the next 7-10 days looks repetitive and boring (at least from a powder skier's perspective). 

Extended Forecast

The big question continues to be, "When will we see snow return to Utah?" Well, like we said above, probably not in the next 7 days, and probably not in the next 10 days. Here is the EPS mean height anomalies for January 18th (8 days from now): 

The ridge, which is overhead this week, will shift a bit west over the Pacific Ocean. Notice those warm colors indicating high pressure. To our north and east, we see blue colors indicating lower heights. This would suggest that the storm track would be edging closer to us, with storms dropping down into the Northern Plains perhaps far northern Rockies. But still not quite closer enough for us to get big snow. However, when we look a few more days out at January 21st:

You can see that the high pressure in the Pacific amplifies and lowers the wave lengths a bit. This allows for the potential for systems to dig farther west and south into perhaps Utah. This pattern typically brings colder, somewhat moisture-starved systems into the region. The overall trend in the long-range models is that the ridge continues to move west and amplify while the lower heights slowly also move west, from the central and eastern US, toward the Western half of the continent. We will continue to watch, but at this point I think our best chance to get back to active weather is sometime around January 20th -- with perhaps increasingly active weather toward the end of the month. 

Evan | OpenSnow

About Our Forecaster

Evan Thayer

Forecaster

To Evan, 'The Greatest Snow on Earth' is more than just a motto - it’s a way of life. In 2010, he started Wasatch Snow Forecast as a way to share the best powder days with his fellow snow-lovers. Evan brings the same quality forecasts and weather discussions to OpenSnow and hopes you enjoy skiing/riding Utah as much as he does.

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