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Just Keeps Going


Another wave will bring snow showers today into early Monday for northern Utah mountains as temperatures remain very cold. A break Tuesday before a warmer storm arrives on Wednesday bringing low elevation rain and high elevation snow through Thursday. More storms possible beyond that.

Short Term Forecast

Snow showers continued yesterday, particularly north of I-80 and east of the GSL where a bit of lake enhancement helped showers persist. Snowbasin picked up 10" of new snow. Powder Mountain 6". 6" in BCC at Solitude and Brighton with an impressive 9" reported at Park City today. Lesser amounts below 5" elsewhere. 

Another wave is pushing in as we speak. It's already snowing in some of the northern areas such as Snowbasin as the first snow band moves through:

We should see snow showers persist today in a NW flow that continues into tonight before tapering early Monday. It's hard to say how much snow we get out of it. Liquid amounts aren't all that impressive:

However, with cold temps and low ratios (as long as it's not graupel) we could see amounts pile up fast. Generally I think 3-6" by tomorrow but there could be areas where showers persist more consistently that see higher amounts. Definitely the type of storm that has my attention as a potential sleeper. 

We should get a break late Monday through Tuesday as temperatures finally start to moderate again. The next storm then pushes in on Wednesday with a southwesterly flow again. Another storm with a rich moisture stream but snow levels should rise up to near 7000 feet again. GEFS plumes show good liquid amounts from Wednesday thru Friday:

Because of the dense snow, I will err on the conservative side with saying maybe 6-12" of snow. Usually, these storms under-produce forecasts due to the density of the snow. But it will add to the high-elevation snowpack. 

Extended Forecast

You can see on the graph above that there's also a storm possible for late next weekend into early next week. This looks like April 2-3 timeframe. This storm is coming out of the northwest and should be cooler again but there are questions as to just what track it takes and we will need to iron out details as we get closer. However, there are certainly possibilities that this stormy pattern just keeps going through the first week of April. 

Alta is at 752" of snow this season as of this morning, there is an outside chance that we reach 775" by the end of the month which would mean we would need 125" in April and May to reach 900". It's not likely, but it is doable. 

Evan | OpenSnow