By Sam Collentine, Meteorologist Posted 6 years ago December 13, 2017

NOAA: Historical Probability of a White Christmas

Where does history say you should be in the United States for the best chance of seeing a white Christmas?

Based on NOAA's 1981-2010 Climate Normals, the highest probabilities along the East Coast will take you Upstate New York, Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine. 

Throughout the Western US, you should take aim for the spine of the Rocky Mountains in western Montana, Idaho, Wyoming, and Colorado. Further West, you'll be looking at the Sierra Nevada mountains of California and the Cascade Range of Washington and Oregon.

While the map shows the climatological probability of snow-covered ground, the actual conditions will vary due to changing weather patterns on and/or around Christmas Day. 

If you would like to keep track of the snowfall across the United States on a daily basis, visit the National Operational Hydrologic Remote Sensing Center’s National Snow Analyses.

Full Article: Are You Dreaming of a White Christmas?

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About The Author

Sam Collentine


Sam Collentine is the Chief Operating Officer of OpenSnow and lives in Basalt, Colorado. Before joining OpenSnow, he studied Atmospheric Science at the University of Colorado, spent time at Channel 7 News in Denver, and at the National Weather Service in Boulder.

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