Canadian Rockies Daily Snow

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By Bob Ambrose, Forecaster Posted 1 year ago January 21, 2023

Cool and Unsettled

Summary

A cold front will swing out of BC and into the Alberta Rockies Saturday evening bringing widespread flurries extending into Sun morning. Overnight accumulations of 2 – 5cm for most resorts. Flurries linger Sunday, especially at Castle Mountain where another 2 - 4cm is possible. NW flow brings in another weak system Monday into Monday night with trace amounts up to 5cm.

Short Term Forecast

Below: Another 'busy' Saturday at aptly named Sunshine Village. 

Saturday: Mix of sun and cloud Saturday morning with clouds and SW winds increasing during the afternoon to the north at Marmot Basin. Clouds and isolated flurries work their way south along the range into the evening hours. As a trough of low-pressure and associated cold-front move into the Rockies from northeast BC, short but intense periods of snow will develop along the frontal boundary Saturday night. This front will spread snowfall as far south as the US border overnight with light accumulations of 2 – 5cm likely at most resorts by 9AM Sunday. 

Sunday: Isolated flurries behind the exiting cold-front could drop trace amounts at the SkiBig3 resorts during the morning hours. The South Rockies will be in best position for bands of snow showers to develop where Castle could add another 2 – 4cm through the morning on Sunday. High-pressure will build into the Alberta Rockies during the day bringing a widespread mix of sun and cloud during the afternoon hours along with alpine high temperatures (2200m) -5C to -11C. Light west winds.  

Monday: Colder surface temps are in store for Monday. Transient high-pressure gets bumped by an advancing trough of low-pressure moving in from northeastern BC. Generally, a cloudy day across the range with isolated flurries along the Divide, becoming more widespread in the South Rockies. Trace to 3cm accumulations possible. Moderate west winds across the alpine at Castle and Nakiska, with light and variable W/SW winds at the SkiBig3 resorts. High temps at 2200m of -10C to -14C. 

Tuesday: Lingering flurries across the South Rockies overnight Monday could add another 1 – 3cm at Castle Mountain by first chair Tuesday morning. High-pressure builds in from BC on Tuesday but with a NW flow aloft expect mainly cloud cover across the range with some isolated flurries developing from Lake Louise north to Marmot Basin. Slightly warmer but seasonal temps with alpine highs (2200m) of -5C to -10C. W/SW winds. 

Wednesday: Ridging will bring a few more sunny spells on Wednesday along with slightly warmer temps with highs at 2200m of -2C to -6C. Light to moderate W/SW winds. 

Below: European model animation from Saturday 1/21 through midnight Friday 1/ 27 depicts a series of low-pressure systems moving into Alberta on a NW flow aloft. The last system for Thursday/Friday 1/26 & 27 looks somewhat impressive. Let's hope the forecast sticks and we finally get some significant snowfall. 

Extended Forecast

Deep high-pressure off the BC coast will continue to divert incoming Pacific storms systems to the north where they will ride a NW flow aloft back to the south and into the Alberta Rockies. This is the pattern for most of next week and the good news is that a more organized low-pressure system is gaining the confidence of the weather models for potentially significant snowfall Thursday night 1/26 through Friday night 1/27. Beyond that, ridging appears to build in from the west drying things out next weekend with a continued NW flow keeping cool temps around.  

Thanks for tuning in. Next update on Monday 1/23.    

Powder Out, 

Bob

Announcements

Alberta Rockies Ski Resorts & Areas / North & South “Regions” are solely for Geographic References in my forecasts…

 North Region:  ( * denotes SkiBig3 resorts )

*Lake Louise Ski Resort  OPEN daily  

*Mt Norquay  OPEN daily  

Marmot Basin        OPEN daily

 South Region:

Castle Mountain  OPEN daily   

Nakiska  OPEN daily

Pass Powderkeg  OPEN WEEKENDS  

About Our Forecaster

Bob Ambrose

Forecaster

Ever since his early days as a ski racer on the icy slopes of New Hampshire’s White Mountains, Bob chased his dreams of deep powder west to Tahoe and finally Montana. A self-proclaimed 'weather junkie', his passion for maps, charts, and forecasts always lead him to the best snow in Montana.

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