Storm Recap

I'll admit I don't always understand the snow reporting on Mammoth's Website. Yesterday morning I saw the totals from their website show 7 - 9 inches at the Main Lodge and Summit respectively. This morning I see they show 9 - 11 inches. Last time I checked 9 plus 11 inches equals 20 inches and not the 24 inches they're showing up top for the storm total for the summit. At least their Main Lodge numbers add up as they say they got 16 inches in this storm. 

Regardless the storm performed exactly as expected and I get another "perfect" forecast. I forecasted 13 - 18 inches at Main Lodge and 17 - 22 inches on the summit. So Main Lodge fell right in the middle of my range and the summit either went just over with their additions or fell within the range as well. 

I'm glad this storm delivered double digit numbers as we've had a prolonged period of not seeing any significant storms. 

Monday - Friday 

After a couple snowy and stormy days we get another fairly good break all of this work week. Monday through Friday we shall have dry weather. Temps will be rising throughout the week. Today, Monday we start in the teens and 20's. By Wednesday we'll be hitting 40 degrees at Main Lodge and by Thursday we should have highs in the mid 40's and 30's across the mtn. 

Friday we're likely to see a dip in temps as several weak storms approach. 

Winds will be gusty today on Monday, February 6th. I'm seeing 50+ MPH gusts on the summit at this time and I'm thinking those could continue throughout the day out of the Northeast. Winds will die down by Tuesday with gusts likely only up to 20 MPH continuing out of the Northeast. By Friday though as the storms approach winds will ramp up significantly again. You can expect to see gusts up to 50 - 60 MPH out of the Southwest again. 

The more interesting exciting weather is just out of the 5 day window. 

As you probably know the models have been showing a more active pattern starting the 2nd weekend of February and going into the 3rd week of the month. 

At the moment the problem is the models are a bit all over the place and don't show any major consensus. There is a cut-off low that could stay off the coast of California... or it could enter the state and bring snow to us. The time frame for us could be both Friday night into Saturday and Saturday night into Sunday. This would be Friday the 10th through Sunday the 12th. 

At this time though I have little confidence we'll see any significant snowfall out of this system that may rotate in a few waves of moisture over the weekend. 

The pattern continues to show additional shots of snow over the 3rd week of February but nothing exceptional yet. The winds could be strong during the weekend and into the following week. And there should also be plenty of cold as well. I'm seeing very cold temperatures for the middle of next week... with highs struggling to reach the teens potentially... 

So we could have a very cold and slightly snowy pattern starting next weekend and going into the middle of February. 

I'll keep you updated on all the details as they evolve. 

Till the next one... Mike out.