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Conditions

• New Snow (Mid Mountain snow stake)
  • 0.5” Monday 500am to Tuesday 500am (24 hours)
  • 0.5” Monday 500pm to Tuesday 500am (12 hours)

• New Snow (Upper Mountain sensor)
  • 1” Monday 500am to Tuesday 500am (24 hours)
  • 1” Monday 500pm to Tuesday 500am (12 hours)

• Last Snowfall
  • 0.5 - 1” Monday Night (November 25-26)

• Snowpack
  • 132% of the 30-year average

• Terrain
  • 0 of 17 lifts
  • 0 of 147 trails

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Tuesday

As of Tuesday morning, the storm has arrived and there is a coating to an inch of new snow at sunrise.

The excellent news is that a LOT of moisture will continue to flow into Colorado, and this will produce snow all day on Tuesday. I expect 4-8+ inches of accumulation and perhaps more due to the high amount of moisture in the air (a lot of moisture can create a lot of snow).

Warming temperatures during the day should produce snow that's on the thicker/denser side, and the base area may occasionally see rain mix in with the snow later on Tuesday during the warmest part of the storm.

Tuesday Night

Intense snow will continue with another 5-10+ inches of accumulation. Temperatures will cool starting between midnight and sunrise, so the snow that falls around and after midnight should become fluffier.

Wednesday

The storm will begin to move away on Wednesday mid-morning, though lingering moisture, storm energy, and a wind from the northwest could keep snow going with another 3-6+ inches of fluffy accumulation through midday or early afternoon.

Thursday (Opening Day)

Opening day will occur on Thursday, November 28, immediately following this storm cycle, and it could be a glorious opening day with fresh/soft snow on the ground and sunny skies behind the storm. The morning temperature will be around 10°F and the afternoon high temperature will be around 20-25°F.

Longer Range

Thanksgiving Day will be the start of an extended period of dry weather that should last into mid-December.

The good news is that this week's snowfall will deepen our already deeper-than-average base, more terrain should open on and just after Thanksgiving, and the low sun angle of early December will help to preserve our snowpack. Also, temperatures will stay cool with highs generally around 30°F.

At various times during the first two weeks of December, storms may clip Colorado as they track from central Canada toward the U.S. east coast, so there could be infrequent times of clouds and snow showers. But largely, the first two weeks of December will be dry.

The longer-range forecasts do show a tendency for the weather pattern to change starting around the middle of December, and I'll keep an eye on this. Hopefully, the second half of December will be snowier than the first half of the month.

Tap below to see our forecasts:

• Telluride Ski Area (11,000 ft)
• Lizard Head Pass (10,300 ft)
• Dallas Divide (9,000 ft)
• Placerville (7,300 ft)

My next update will be on Wednesday morning.

Thanks for reading!

JOEL GRATZ
Meteorologist at OpenSnow.com