US and Canada Daily Snow
By Joel Gratz, Founding Meteorologist Posted 5 years ago November 7, 2019
Next 10-15 days will be cool in the east, dry in the west
Summary
The current weather pattern is locked in and I expect that the far Northern Rockies, Upper Midwest, and Northeast will stay cool with chances for storms every few days. The reliable forecast models extend out through about November 20th and do not show much of a change in the pattern through that date.
Short Term Forecast
Cold Air in the Northeast
In the northeast, temperatures are now cold enough so that snowmaking operations should occur each night, and possibly extend through some daytime periods as well. The animation below shows the snow guns throwing snow onto the trails at Killington in Vermont on Wednesday, November 6.
Forecast for Thu, Nov 7 – Fri, Nov 8
The main story for the end of the week will be a storm in the northeast. This system does not appear to be a big snow producer (generally 2-6 inches), though every flake counts. Also, in the wake of the storm, mountain temperatures will drop into the 20s for highs on Friday into Saturday.
Forecast for Sat, Nov 9 – Sun, Nov 10
During the weekend, the next storm will slide into the northern Rockies, bringing snow to British Columbia and Alberta in Canada, as well as the US state of Montana.
Extended Forecast
Forecast for Mon, Nov 11 – Fri, Nov 15
The current weather pattern will remain locked in during all of next week. This means that well see one or two storms track from the northern Rockies and then eastward into the Upper Midwest and the Northeast. Elsewhere, the rest of the western United States will be warm and mostly dry.
Outlook for Sat, Nov 16 – Wed, Nov 20
Pushing ahead into the 10-15 day outlook, the average of twenty-one versions of the American GFS model show that the atmosphere will stick with its current pattern, keeping the cold air near and east of the continental divide and over through the Northeast.
As I said in my previous forecast, once a pattern like this becomes locked in, it usually takes a while to change. I’ll keep an eye on the longer-range forecast to see if any models predict a shift in the storm track, though I wouldn’t be surprised to see this pattern continue past November 20th.
Thanks so much for reading, and check back for my next post on Monday, November 11th.
JOEL GRATZ
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