The atmosphere will continue to deliver snow to the western US and Canada, focused mostly on the Pacific Northwest and the northern Rockies. Expect storms every 2-3 days, each delivering a healthy dose of snow. The base depth in this area is already 2-3x above average and it will only get deeper through mid-November!
Short Term Forecast
In last week's forecast, I talked about how the Pacific Northwest would get clobbered with snow early in the week. Well, it happened! Check out the snow stake at Kicking Horse Mountain Resort in British Columbia, or at least, check out what you can see of the snow stake, which was mostly buried.
Kicking Horse reported a one-week total of 111cm or about 43 inches of snow. That was quite a storm!
The storm track will remain active over the western US and Canada through this week.
The first storm of the week will bring the most snow to Colorado on Monday and Tuesday.
Then on Thursday, Friday, and Saturday, a new storm will move off the Pacific Ocean and into North America, bringing snow from Canada south to Tahoe and Mammoth in California, and northeast to Idaho, Montana, and Wyoming.
And the storm train will keep rolling on with another system scheduled to hit the west sometime early next week, around November 12-14.
This is fantastic news for the northern Rockies and Pacific Northwest where the early-season snowpack is running about 2-3x above average. This should lead to a lot of open terrain when most mountains start spinning their lifts in a few weeks.
I am going to sound like a broken record as the storm track will continue to favor the Pacific Northwest.
This map shows the forecast for the temperature compared to average between November 15-19.
At this lead time, about 10-15 days from when I am writing this forecast, it is unwise to trust a single weather model's forecast for snow. However, it is reasonable to trust the average of many versions of a model when it comes to forecasting temperature trends, and this is what I show here.
Bottom line ... areas in the northwest and the northern Rockies that have been getting snow will get more of it through mid-November!
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