Utah Daily Snow

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By Evan Thayer, Forecaster Posted 5 years ago November 16, 2018

Increasing Confidence

Summary

A weak system is going to clip Northern Utah this weekend with a few mountain snow showers possible. Dry to start next week, but a change in the pattern will give us chances for snow after the Thanksgiving holiday.

Short Term Forecast

Today (Friday) should be clear.  The weekend will start out with a clipper system that is dropping down the Rockies.  Model runs continue to be weak with this system, but it might have a bit more luck than previously expected generating snow showers.  I don't think we are looking at much, but there's a chance some places could pick up a quick inch or two in the Wasatch and Uinta mountains if they get a persistent or heavy snow shower.  It looks like the best time for snow showers will be Saturday afternoon.  Not much to look at on the maps, just a light amount for far northern Utah thru Sunday: 

We should be clear on Sunday with cool temps.  We remain clear thru midweek.  

Things start to change right around Thanksgiving Day.  Models also differ quite a bit for this period.  The GFS keeps us dry thru next Friday with a weak system pushing in next Saturday.  This is the GFS thru next Saturday: 

Not too impressive but it's something.... 

On the other hand, the Euro model is much more progressive.  It would bring in a weak system as early as Thanksgiving Day.  With a moderate system on Saturday the 24th, and another system possible the 25th or 26th.  The Euro has been very consistent with this idea so hopefully has a better handle than the GFS.  While this may not be major snow, both models have at least some snowfall in Utah mountains during that holiday weekend.  

Extended Forecast

Extended forecast differs a bit between the two models.  The GFS finally sweeps thru a big final trough during the November 26-29 time frame, that would potentially bring some good precip to the region. Here is the GFS thru the end of the month: 

The Euro may continue to bring in energy as well thru the end of the month, but both the GFS and Euro have a ridge of high pressure building in to some extent right at the end of the month.  Hopefully, if this were to occur, it would be a short-term ridge rather than another long, stubborn period of ridging.  

Evan | OpenSnow

Due to be a bit of model consistency and getting closer to the pattern change. I was able to nudge up the "stoke level" just a touch.  It's still Low, but another day of model runs and we could see it creep up a bit more.  I recommend not getting excited until it's in the "high" range.  

About Our Forecaster

Evan Thayer

Forecaster

To Evan, 'The Greatest Snow on Earth' is more than just a motto - it’s a way of life. In 2010, he started Wasatch Snow Forecast as a way to share the best powder days with his fellow snow-lovers. Evan brings the same quality forecasts and weather discussions to OpenSnow and hopes you enjoy skiing/riding Utah as much as he does.

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