Utah Daily Snow
By Evan Thayer, Forecaster Posted 5 years ago December 8, 2018
Signs of Change
Summary
Inversions continue for several more days before we start to see some active weather return to the region. Small to medium storms initially, but they could trend bigger after mid-month.
Short Term Forecast
We are still in the midst of our break in the action. Therefore, inversions have developed which has led to an increase in pollution. We should have several more days of these inversions before active weather starts to clear us out. It's certainly a good time to escape to the mountains where the air is clear!
The first system we will see is on Tuesday, however, there is not much to this storm and I think it will mostly fall apart before getting here. A few light snow showers possible, but accumulation looks unlikely.
A stronger storm arrives on Wednesday afternoon and continues Wednesday night. This is a quick-hitting storm, but should bring a period of decent snowfall to the mountains of Northern Utah. Right now, Thursday looks to be our best best for fresh snow to ski/ride. As for amounts, the operational GFS shows moderate totals Tuesday thru Thursday:
There is still quite a bit of uncertainty as ensembles remain all over the place:
Essentially any where from 0.3" of liquid to over an inch. This is for the Upper Cottonwoods and illustrates quite a range of possible outcomes. I think the best bet is a small-moderate storm with 4-8" Thursday.
Maybe a quick break next weekend but additional storms could be on the horizon after mid-month.
Extended Forecast
Both Euro and GFS have additional storms pushing in on the 16th or 17th of December. Too far out for details on these yet but it's encouraging to see active weather continuing. I'm still seeing signs of a cold and active pattern in the week leading up to Christmas. We've had quite a run of powder days on and around Christmas day over the past 6 years or so. Let's hope it continues.
Evan | OpenSnow
KTBFFH