Utah Daily Snow
By Evan Thayer, Forecaster Posted 3 years ago November 16, 2020
Dry and Warm
Summary
Our storm has cleared the area and we are now in a much dryer and warmer pattern. We could see some "scraps" of moisture bring chances for high elevations snow showers later this week, but other than that we are likely to see an extended break in the action.
Short Term Forecast
Our storm cycle is now over as yesterday's last bit of energy has moved north of the area again. The past 8 days were good to us and we put down a solid base which in most areas has led to much-above average snowpack numbers:
Unfortunately, this early in the season, these numbers shift quickly. One dry pattern and we could see these numbers plummet back to well-below normal. I am sorry to say, that seems increasingly likely at this point.
We are entering a period of dry conditions as a ridge builds over the area in response to a trough digging off the west coast. Unfortunately, this trough isn't really going to move far enough inland to do much for us. The Sierra Nevada to our west could get some decent totals, but Utah will see very little. We remain dry through at least Wednesday, then we could see some small bit of moisture on Thursday-Saturday, but I don't expect more than a few showers here and there. Snow levels would remain high.
We will be warm, then see a bit of a cooloff for next week.
Extended Forecast
The trends in the long-range forecasts have not been kind to us lately. Each model run I check is showing a new trough digging down before Thanksgiving. At first, it was looking like this would setup over the western states. Good for us. But now, it is looking like it will setup farther west, off the coast. Bad for us.
Because of this trend, models are showing significantly lower potential for good storms for us. The Cascades and Sierra Nevada could get walloped, but this far inland we may be SOL. We will keep an eye on this over the coming days. Fingers crossed it shifts back east again!
Evan | OpenSnow
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About Our Forecaster
Evan Thayer
Forecaster
To Evan, 'The Greatest Snow on Earth' is more than just a motto - it’s a way of life. In 2010, he started Wasatch Snow Forecast as a way to share the best powder days with his fellow snow-lovers. Evan brings the same quality forecasts and weather discussions to OpenSnow and hopes you enjoy skiing/riding Utah as much as he does.
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