Utah Daily Snow
By Evan Thayer, Forecaster Posted 3 years ago November 18, 2020
Negative Trends
Summary
We remain parked between a trough to our west and a ridge to our east. That means we will some clouds, plenty of wind, and only chances for light showers. No major storms in the forecast currently.
Short Term Forecast
Not much positive to say about the forecast. We started this week with very warm (even record) temps along with plenty of wind and a decent amount of cloud cover. This is all thanks to a trough to our west that is spinning up moisture into the Sierra Nevada, but is not progressing far enough east to do us much good. Over the next 24-36 hours, we will see a cool down as a mostly dry front crosses the area. We could also see some showers in the far northern mountains, roughly from SLC north to Idaho, but any accumulations will be minimal and confined to the high elevations.
Unfortunately, things don't get much better after the "storm" tonight and tomorrow. This weekend through next week looks mostly dry. A few models and their ensembles show the possibility of a few scraps of moisture making it to Utah, but that's about it.
Here is the GFS for the next 10 days:
Really the only moisture is from the energy we will see tonight and tomorrow in Northern Utah. The Euro is not much better.
The only difference is a little bit of this accumulation in Utah is from another scrap of energy just prior to Thanksgiving next week.
And the Canadian, just for kicks...
Same general idea. Storms generally stay to our west and north. We get grazed with some scraps of energy, but that's it for the next 10 days.
As for temperatures, they will be near normal this weekend into early next week, but could warm to above normal next week. Still, cool enough that resorts should be able to make snow during the night at the very least.
Extended Forecast
There are some tenuous signs of the pattern shifting as we start December. It's far away and it's not a strong signal. We really just need the trough to setup farther inland for us to benefit. A week ago, models were farther inland with these troughs and our forecast looked amazing. It won't take much for models to trend that direction again! The good news is there is no sign of blocking high pressure, so it should only be a matter of time before storms return.
Evan | OpenSnow