News
By Joel Gratz, Founding Meteorologist Posted 12 years ago January 11, 2012
Good news...the times are a-changin!
Out with the old, in with the new.
I hate long range forecasts because they DO NOT reliably predict the details of each storm, and the details of each storm is what decides powder day vs. no powder day. However, long range forecasts are DECENT at predicting the overall storm track 6-8 days into the future.
After a few days of looking at the computer weather models hint at a change to the overall weather pattern, I'm ready to pull the trigger and say "Yeah, it'll happen".
Oregon, Washington, Idaho, Montana, and northern Wyoming should see a lot of snow next week.
It is *possible* that some of this heavy snow could hit Tahoe, northern Utah, and the northern half of Colorado. However, there's no guarantee for these areas as it will come down to the DETAILS of each individual storm to decide if the snow makes it far enough south.
One fly in the ointment is that the storm track coming straight off the Pacific will bring a lot of WARM moisture. Higher elevations should still see snow, but there could be times of "undeveloped snow" across lower elevations and during the warmer parts of each storm.
If you've been missing the snow lately, this change is a good thing!
I hate long range forecasts because they DO NOT reliably predict the details of each storm, and the details of each storm is what decides powder day vs. no powder day. However, long range forecasts are DECENT at predicting the overall storm track 6-8 days into the future.
After a few days of looking at the computer weather models hint at a change to the overall weather pattern, I'm ready to pull the trigger and say "Yeah, it'll happen".
Oregon, Washington, Idaho, Montana, and northern Wyoming should see a lot of snow next week.
It is *possible* that some of this heavy snow could hit Tahoe, northern Utah, and the northern half of Colorado. However, there's no guarantee for these areas as it will come down to the DETAILS of each individual storm to decide if the snow makes it far enough south.
One fly in the ointment is that the storm track coming straight off the Pacific will bring a lot of WARM moisture. Higher elevations should still see snow, but there could be times of "undeveloped snow" across lower elevations and during the warmer parts of each storm.
If you've been missing the snow lately, this change is a good thing!
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