Mid-Atlantic Daily Snow

Heads up, there may be fresher snow! Read the latest Mid-Atlantic Daily Snow

By Zach Butler, Meteorologist Posted 15 days ago April 3, 2024

Late Season Nor'easter

Summary

A major late-season Nor'easter will bring moderate snow to the Catskills from Wednesday evening through Friday. Warmer air could make sleet fall longer than anticipated, but colder air will make its way into the Catskills by Thursday morning and bring snow accumulations of 6-12+ inches. Other northern and western Mid-Atlantic areas will see light snow with 3-8 inches expected.

Short Term Forecast

It has been a soggy few days across much of the Mid-Atlantic due to a consistent stream of moisture from the Midwest. The storm system providing this moisture will finally track through the Mid-Atlantic on Wednesday and change rain to snow in northern and western areas. 

Forecast from Wednesday, April 3 through Friday, April 5:

There is a lot to unpack with the developing coastal storm. Wednesday will start with widespread rain through the Mid-Atlantic. The coastal storm will develop and strengthen during the afternoon and slowly change rain to snow and sleet through the Catskills and higher terrain in western NY and WV.

The coastal storm will rapidly strengthen Wednesday night into Thursday morning. The latest model guidance shows the storm tracking closer inland, which will push warmer air into the Catskills. This will cause several hours of sleet on Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Sometime early Thursday morning, sleet will change to snow through the Catskills, falling and accumulating quickly.  Light to moderate snow will continue on Thursday through the Catskills, becoming lighter and more scattered throughout the day.

For the rest of the northern Mid-Atlantic, rain will change to snow Wednesday night. Snow will be scattered and light on Thursday through NY. In western NY, snow will be heavier and extend into the western Mid-Atlantic.

On Friday, the storm system will remain semi-stationary off the New England coast and continue to send moisture into the northern and western Mid-Atlantic. Snow showers will be scattered and light for most of the day, with a few periods of moderate snow showers adding more snow accumulations. A few snow showers will reach the central Mid-Atlantic on Thursday and Friday but have minimal effects.

Winds will be gusty for the higher elevations upwards of 40-50 mph but overall, this Nor'easter will not bring a large wind threat.

Below is a look at the NAM model’s depiction of precipitation type and intensity from Wednesday evening, April 3 through Friday morning, April 5.

Snow accumulations will be heaviest in the Catskills. The biggest area of concern is that sleet falls longer than anticipated into Thursday morning, which would limit snow accumulations. Total snow accumulations in the Catskills are expected to be 6-12+ inches but if sleet falls longer, snow accumulations will be 3-8 inches. Additionally, if sleet falls not as long, many areas could reach over a foot of snow.

For the remainder of northern Mid-Atlantic and western Mid-Atlantic, snow accumulations will be 3-8 inches with the highest snow totals in WV. Below is a look at the mult-model average snow accumulations from Wednesday, April 3 through Friday, April 5.

Forecast on Saturday, April 6 and Sunday, April 7:

The storm system will slowly move out to the Atlantic Ocean on Saturday and still bring a few rain and snow showers to the Mid-Atlantic. Temperatures will be warmer and limit snow showers to the higher elevations. Minimal snow accumulations are likely on Saturday. 

The storm finally moves off the coast on Sunday, which will bring clear and dry conditions to the East Coast with above-freezing temperatures.

Extended Forecast

The big event next week will be the total solar eclipse on Monday, April 8. I will continue to have the latest updates in this article here.  The weather looks to be favorable for parts of the East Coast. A storm system will be traveling across the Midwest, slowly moving high clouds into PA and NY on Monday afternoon. These high clouds will be a threat to the totality path and it is too early to pinpoint the exact cloud cover forecast this far out.

Below is a look at the Euro's ensemble predicted percent of cloud cover greater than 90% on Monday, April 8.

Description: The brighter and warmer colors show higher chances of cloud cover (>50%). The cooler blue colors show higher chances of clear skies (<50%).

The slight change in the storm track will influence whether these high clouds will affect eclipse viewing on Monday afternoon. The further north and east you travel into the Northeast through northern NY, VT, NH, and ME, the higher the chance for clear skies.

The rest of the week will see a few storms bring rain and warm temperatures to the East Coast. I do not see any favorable storms with cold air and snow for the foreseeable future. Spring will be here!

Thanks for reading, I will have the next update on Friday late morning around 10 am to go over the latest storm and snow reports.

Zach Butler

Announcements

Closing Days:

Hunter Mountain - Sunday, April 7.

Belleayre Mountain - Sunday, April 14.

About Our Forecaster

Zach Butler

Meteorologist

Zach Butler is currently a PhD student in Water Resources Science at Oregon State University. He just finished his master's in Applied Meteorology at Plymouth State University in New Hampshire. Originally from Maryland, he has grown up hiking and skiing up and down the East Coast. When not doing coursework, he enjoys cooking and exploring the pacific northwest on his bike.

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