Midwest Daily Snow

Heads up, there may be fresher snow! Read the latest Midwest Daily Snow

By Croix Christenson, Meteorologist Posted 1 year ago February 1, 2023

Getting Deep Out There

Summary

We have started to see our first double-digit reports of snow from lake effect snow over the past few days with more on the way. Lake effect snow will continue into Friday, with some locations likely to hit double digits for additional snow, bringing the week totals well over a foot for places such as Bohemia and Mont Ripley.

Short Term Forecast

Wednesday - Friday:

Where is the powder? After a brief lull on Tuesday, snow has returned to the south shore of Lake Superior and will continue into Friday.  

Lake effect snow near Bohemia via Keweenaw Mountain Lodge webcam early Wednesday morning:

This is THE week to get up to Bohemia, they reported 10" over 36 hours on Tuesday and will not be surprised if they report another 3-7" on Wednesday morning with another 8-16" likely coming. It's getting deep up there! 

There might be a few bursts of very light snow possible, otherwise, any resorts in the non-lake effect snow belts will be dry, and breezy at times, with periods of sun through Friday. 

More consistent snow showers returned to the south shore of Lake Superior and western portions of lower Michigan Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. A brief lull is expected late Wednesday into as winds become more southerly.

The lull does not last long before an area of light snow and the return of colder air and northerly winds bring widespread lake effect snow showers back Thursday into Friday. 

This burst of colder air and change in wind direction will bring widespread snow and lake effect snow for the Traverse City resorts, bringing the chance for powder conditions late Thursday and again on Friday. 

Here are the NAM forecast precipitation types from Wednesday AM to Friday midday, this will result in impressive totals by Friday! 

Snowfall Amounts:

  • Ironwood, Michigan resorts: a dusting to a couple of inches
  • Western UP:
    • Porkies: 3-6"
    • Ripley and Bohemia: 8-16", but will not be surprised if they receive more by late Friday
  • Searchmont: 3-6" with ~6" or more waiting for the first chair Wednesday
  • Traverse City Region: 3-6"+ likely for the resorts further north, 1-4" possible further south for Crystal and Caberfae
  • Southwest lower Michigan resorts: dusting to a couple of inches (most of the lake effect snow remains closer to the lake)
  • The rest of the Midwest is dry to only a dusting it appears 

Here is an animation of snowfall accumulation ending Friday early evening, sadly it does not include Canada in this dataset but Searchmont should see 3-6" by Friday:

The snow for the rest of this week will be of excellent quality thanks to those cold temperatures: light and fluffy. 

Saturday - Sunday:

This upcoming weekend looks to bring a warming trend, with some light snow chances. After a cold stretch, the return of widespread highs in the 20s and 30s will feel quite mild. 

The models have come into better agreement that some light snow will be in store for the Midwest, mainly, at this time, for the Lake Superior region and portions of lower Michigan. Some light snow and minor accumulation cannot be ruled out elsewhere.

Extended Forecast

Fantasy Land, First Full week of February (6-12):

  • Most models now are in agreement we return to above-normal temperatures overall
    • Likely lasts into the middle of February
  • Most likely will be warm enough for the return of rain for some - nooo!
  • Monday the 6th into Tuesday the 7th, the first chance of rain and snow arrives 

GFS & ECMWF forecast precipitation types late Monday into Tuesday am:

  • Some models (~25%) have a larger system around the 9th & 10th, but that is over a week away, and low confidence at this time

-Croix

Announcements

Road Conditions:

Regions:

North Shore Lake Superior/Northeast Minnesota
Giants Ridge, Spirit Mountain, Mont du Lac, Lutsen, Bearskin, Loch Lomond, Mount Baldy

UP/South Shore Lake Superior/Lake Effect Snow Belt
Birkie, Whitecap, Powderhorn, ABR, Porkies, Snowriver, Ripley, Bohemia, Marquette Mtn, Ski Brule, Pine Mtn, Searchmont

Twin Cities Region
Trollhaugen, Wild Mountain, Powder Ridge, Hyland Hills, Afton Alps, Buck Hill, Welch Village, Mount Kato, Coffee Mill

Central Wisconsin
Granite Peak, Paul Bunyan, Nordic Mtn

Southern Wisconsin Region
Mt La Crosse, Cascade, Devil's Head, Tyrol, Little Switz, Sunburst, Wilmot, Alpine Valley(WI), Sundown(Iowa), Chestnut(Illinois)

Northern Lower Michigan/Traverse City Region/Lake Effect Snow Belt                                            Boyne Highlands, Nub's Nob, Boyne Mtn, Shanty Crk, Crystal Mtn, Caberfae, Treetops, Otsego

Southwest Lower Michigan/Grand Rapids Region/Kalamazoo Region/Lake Effect Snow Belt
Cannonsburg, Bittersweet, Timber Ridge, Swiss Valley

Southeast Lower Michigan/Eastern Michigan/Detroit Region
Mt Holly, Pine Knob, Mt Brighton, Alpine Valley(MI)

About Our Forecaster

Croix Christenson

Meteorologist

Croix grew up in Saint Paul, Minnesota where he developed his passion for the outdoors and snow. He attended the University of Wisconsin-Madison and received his BS and MS in Atmospheric Science. When not working, you will find Croix exploring his Duluth, Minnesota backyard by skiing, mountain biking, fishing, surfing, hiking with his dog Doppler, or just about any activity that gets him outside.

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