Sunday will be mostly sunny with continued cool temperatures. A storm will track near the U.S.-Mexico border from Monday to Wednesday. The southern mountains could see a bit of snow on Tuesday into Wednesday. The central and northern mountains should stay mostly dry through February 6th. There are some distant signals of a pattern change around February 7th.
Temperatures are in the teens on Sunday morning and will warm into the 20's above 10,000 feet on Sunday with mostly sunny skies.
Starting on Monday into Tuesday, the storm we have been tracking will be centered near the southern California-Arizona border and will produce southwest flow and some modest snow for Arizona and the San Juan Mountains of southwestern Colorado.
The storm is still expected to remain south and weaken as it moves east. The southern mountains could get a bit of snow late Tuesday into Wednesday.
But overall, the precipitation forecast hasn't changed much in the last 24 hours with New Mexico largely staying dry.
We should then see several days of dry weather with perhaps a chance of a weak system on Saturday, February 4th.
Extended models continue to show some signs of hope around February 7th but with very low confidence being 10 days away.
Thanks for reading. I will post another update on Monday to see how the southern storm is shaping up.
January snow means dynamic avalanche conditions
We are fortunate to have the Taos Avalanche Center to help make avalanche forecasts for the Land of Enchantment. Always be sure to check out the latest before heading into the backcountry.
And Taos Avalanche Center is again partnering with the best in the business for an awesome slate of courses this season in Taos and Santa Fe. Check out the details here.
New Mexico Geography Key
→ Red River, Taos Ski Valley (north side of northern mountains - Sangre de Cristos)
→ Angel Fire (northeast side of northern mountains - Sangre de Cristos)
→ Sipapu (middle of the northern mountains - Sangre de Cristos)
→ Ski Santa Fe (south side of the northern mountains - Sangre de Cristos)
→ Pajarito (southwest side of the northern mountains - Jemez)
→ Sandia Peak (Sandias)
→ Mt. Taylor backcountry (San Mateos)
→ Ski Apache (Sacramentos)
→ Ski Cloudcroft (Sacramentos)