Tahoe Daily Snow

Quick Shot of Snow Monday Night, Then Mild Weather Returns...

Summary

- Increasing clouds and winds Sunday with highs in the 40's on the upper mountains and 50's at lake level. Ridgetop winds gusting to 50+ mph in the morning and increasing to 65+ during the afternoon. A weak system brushes us as it moves through to our north Sunday night. We could see a few scattered rain showers with snow levels around 8,000 feet. - A colder storm moves in Monday afternoon into Monday night. We could see moderate rain and snow showers move in during the afternoon with a burst of heavier snow as the cold front moves through Monday evening. Snow levels Starting around 7,500 feet and falling below lake level Monday night. We could see 1-7 inches of snow on the mountains by Tuesday morning. Strong winds expected on the mountains and highs in the 30's. - High pressure begins to build in Tuesday through the end of next week. We should see the sun return with temperatures warming back into the 50's the 2nd half of the week on the mountains, and 60's at lake level. - A weak system could bring a chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms next weekend. - We may go into a prolonged dry period through the last week of April. We will watch for any late-season storms to sneak in.

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Short Term Forecast

Sunday:

For Sunday we will see increasing clouds and winds, with gusts to 70+ mph possible on the mountain tops by afternoon.  That means we will likely see some upper mountain lifts close on the wind prone mountains.  Still mild Sunday with partly sunny skies and highs in the 40's on the upper mountains to 50's at lake level.

satellite

Monday Storm:

Monday the next storm moves in.  We will see ridgetop gusts continuing to blow at 70+ mph closing some upper mountain lifts.  Highs in the 40's earlier in the day.

Rain & snow showers look like they will push in Monday afternoon.  Snow levels starting around 7,500 feet and then falling to around 6,500 feet by Monday evening.  The storm has been slowing slightly on the latest model runs.  The heaviest precipitation is expected during Monday evening and then snow showers possible behind the front through Tuesday night.  Snow levels falling to around 5,500 feet.

storm

Total precipitation amounts have come into good agreement on the models and have trended down slightly this morning.  The total model average is 0.66 inches of total precipitation possible along the crest.  The wettest model is the NAM with up to 9 tenths of an inch near the crest.

total precip

The NAM would bring a high end of up to 9 inches near the crest.  Here is the updated snowfall forecast by Tuesday morning using the model average.  The best chance for snow accumulations will be on colder surfaces.

forecast

We can fine-tune the forecast one more time Monday morning.  If this storm comes through, Tuesday morning could be the last fresh tracks day at most ski resorts as the majority close next weekend.  The Calendar is below.

Extended Forecast

We should clear out on Tuesday with winds coming down and temperatures warming into the 40's on the mountains and 50's at lake level.  High pressure builds in through the end of the week with sun and warming temperatures.  We could be in the 50's on the mountains Wednesday through Friday, and 60's at lake level.

A weak system next weekend could bring us some scattered rain showers and thunderstorms.  Temperatures remain mild. 

The long-range models build high-pressure over CA going into the last week of April.  A few model runs suggest another weak system could sneak in with some rain showers around the 23rd.  But overall expecting a mainly dry pattern and no more chances for measurable snow for now.

Stay tuned...BA

Closing Dates:

Tahoe Donner - 4/14 (today)

Kirkwood - 4/14, re-opening one last weekend 4/19 - 4/21

Bear Valley - 4/21

Dodge Ridge - 4/21

Sugar Bowl - 4/21

Sierra at Tahoe - 4/21

Homewood - 4/21

Boreal - 4/21

Northstar - 4/21

Diamond Peak - 4/21

Mt. Rose - 4/28

Alpine Meadows - 4/21, then open weekends through 5/27

Heavenly - 4/28, then open weekends through 5/27

Squaw - 5/27, then open weekends through 7/7 (conditions permitting)

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