Moderate to heavy snow has been falling in the northern and western Alps over the last day, and that will continue through Thursday morning. Snow from the next weak storm arrives shortly thereafter on Thursday morning, bringing some snow showers through Friday morning. 

This upper-level low is now forecast to split, with one piece drifting southwest across the Alps, while the other moves off to the east.

This will bring another period of southerly/easterly winds into the southern Alps which will keep the snow going through the weekend. Now the eastern facing parts of the southwestern Alps will get in on the action with a setup similar to a Retour d'est, bringing easterly winds as the storm tracks east to west. 

Snow will fall in the eastern side of the southern Alps from Friday morning through Sunday morning. In the western side of the southern Alps, the storm will bring snow from Saturday afternoon through Monday afternoon. Below is the latest snow forecast from the European model through Monday. 

The western Italian Alps could end up being the big winner if the European model is correct, though the other models aren't so optimistic about the snowfall in this area. I think 10 - 20 cm is likely in this region, with at the potential for more given the ideal storm track. 

There aren't many changes in the long-range forecast, with ridging still expected to develop later this weekend across central Europe. We could see some activity in the Pyrenees as early as the end of next week but the Alps should stay dry until early the following week, around the 10th. 

My next post will be on Thursday.

Thanks for reading the Europe Daily Snow!

Luke Stone
Forecaster, OpenSnow

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